• Follow us

Politics

ANALYSIS: NDP still needs 164 candidates while Tories, People’s Party near full slate of 338

It is not exactly a mystery when the 43rd general election will be held.

For four years now, we’ve all known — thanks to the fixed-date election law brought in by the Harper government — that Canadians will go to the polls on Oct. 21.

Story continues below

This means, one would think, all major parties would be working to arrange their affairs with a view towards being ready to begin the official campaign as early as this weekend. (Under the fixed-date election law, the earliest that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau could ask the Governor General to dissolve Parliament and send everyone out onto the hustings is Sept. 1. The latest he is allowed to wait is Sept. 15.)

And because a general election is really 338 individual races — one in every riding in the country — the most important thing any federal party needs as it prepares to campaign is a candidate in each of those 338 ridings.

The Conservatives and the People’s Party of Canada know this. Both parties are inches away from a full coast-to-coast-to-coast slate of candidates. And as of late Thursday afternoon, Elizabeth May’s Green Party was just ahead of the governing Liberals with nominated candidates in about three-quarters of the ridings.

But the NDP — despite the certainty of the date that is now upon them — have no candidates in more than half of the country’s ridings, yet more evidence of the sickly weakness of the party under leader Jagmeet Singh. The party has been trailing in fundraising, trailing in the polls and, now, trailing in candidate readiness. On the morning of Aug. 29, the NDP web site listed 148 candidates but according to party spokesperson Melanie Richer, the NDP had 174 candidates in place Thursday.

The NDP had not a single nominated candidate in any of the 10 ridings in New Brunswick, any of the four ridings in P.E.I. or in the northern ridings of Nunavut and the Northwest Territories.

To Dennis Matthews, a veteran of Conservative election war rooms in 2006 and 2008, this failure to have candidates in place is a tremendous disadvantage for the NDP.

“A candidate is the leader of the local campaign,” Matthews said. “They often pick their campaign managers. They bring their own cadre of volunteers and supporters. A lot of the decisions that get taken on things like office space, getting your campaign signs printed, getting your website up, your social media going — all that kind of stuff — can’t really happen until you have a candidate.”

READ MORE: ANALYSIS — Near-record ‘incumbency disadvantage’ is yet another headache for Jagmeet Singh’s NDP

On its face, the lack of candidate preparedness for the New Democrats would be a concern, but even more worrying may be the relative organizational strength of the Green Party, which, according to Green spokesperson Rosie Emery, had nominated 274 candidates as of Thursday afternoon.

“Each campaign, [the Greens] have threatened to break through,” said Matthews. “But they’ve never been quite able to get there. But you get the sense they’ve got a little more meat behind the entire campaign this time. And if they want to ride any sort of wave, you have to have candidates. You have to have money. You have to have an organization. And if [the Greens] have got some of those things, if I was the NDP, I would be mighty worried that they soak up the protest vote this time.”

Among the factors hobbling the NDP in finding candidates is what some political scientists describe as the party’s “incumbency disadvantage.”

A near-record percentage of New Democrat MPs will retire once the writ is dropped next month. Just over 33 per cent of those New Democrats elected in 2015 will not run now, a figure exceeded only once in modern Canadian history in 1993 when 41 per cent of those elected as Brian Mulroney’s Progressive Conservatives declined to run for the Kim Campbell PCs.

Among the retiring NDP MPs is Murray Rankin, who represented the riding of Victoria. Without Rankin’s incumbency, that seat is a clear target for the Greens, who have a solid base on southern Vancouver Island. The party recently won a byelection in Nanaimo-Ladysmith, and party leader May represents Saanich-Gulf Islands, the riding adjacent to Victoria. The Greens are aiming to build on that regional strength on Vancouver Island by taking out NDP incumbents Randall Garrison in Esquimalt-Saanich-Sooke and Alistair MacGregor in Cowichan-Malahat-Langford.

David Akin is the chief political correspondent for Global News.

Editor’s Note: The NDP nominated candidate count was update in the headline and in the text to clarify the candidate count per the party’s Web site as of August 29 versus an e-mailed statement from a party spokesperson.

Read More



Leave A Comment

More News

: Politics

Trudeau apologizes to Canadians over blackface controversy. Here’s New! 2019-09-19 18:12:07Here is the full transcript of Trudeau’s apology in English, minus the remarks in French, and a Q & A with reporters.

‘It’s a lack of judgment’: Quebec’s political class New! 2019-09-19 18:10:44In Quebec, politicians of all stripes criticized Liberal leader Justin Trudeau for his instances of brown and blackface.

Poll shows affordability on mind of Canadian voters New! 2019-09-19 17:16:27If the latest Leger survey is any indication, Canadians remain unsure about which party is best placed to ease economic pressure.

Racism can become a political flashpoint — advocates New! 2019-09-19 17:16:12It’s the latest controversy in a federal election campaign that has, at times, focused on racism.

Trudeau’s ‘profoundly stupid’ past may not be an New! 2019-09-19 17:10:04Eric Dezenhall, CEO and co-founder of Washington-based crisis communications firm Dezenhall Resources, told Global News the Prime Minister's repeated

Canada Proud spent more than $100k boosting online New! 2019-09-19 16:51:23Elections Canada documents say Canada Proud has spent more than $100,000 this campaign season boosting its online anti-Trudeau message, funded in part

Amarjeet Sohi ‘very disheartened’ by images of Trudeau New! 2019-09-19 16:46:56Natural Resources Minister Amarjeet Sohi said Thursday he was "very disheartened and disappointed" to see the images of Liberal Leader Justin Trudea

Singh tries to keep NDP on message amid New! 2019-09-19 16:33:40While NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh tried to stick to his campaign script, there was no escaping the numerous questions about the images of his rival Justi

Blackface a symptom of ‘deeply embedded’ racism: experts New! 2019-09-19 16:17:13A number of images of Justin Trudeau wearing racist makeup have emerged this week.

Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau’s blackface scandal makes international New! 2019-09-19 16:08:25Newspapers, websites and television stations in the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia and beyond gave the burgeoning scandal prominent play

Guelph Green candidate says he’s not a 9/11 2019-09-18 16:22:26Steve Dyck's campaign says the 2015 Facebook post was made out of "intellectual curiosity" and has now been deleted.

Fake news section of Elections Act faces Charter 2019-09-18 15:43:39A Calgary-based legal foundation is asking an Ontario court to strike down new sections of the Elections Act that forbid making certain false statemen

CBC | Politics News

Federal candidates make pitches to B.C. First Nations New! 2019-09-19 17:32:08Several federal election candidates delivered their pitches to First Nations leadership at a meeting in Musqueam on Thursday, speaking about their com

Justin Trudeau — a self-appointed moral steward in New! 2019-09-19 15:50:13When you run on sanctimony, govern on arrogance and expect perfection, you find yourself in an awful quandary when you fall short of your own standard

In Quebec, Trudeau's opponents and supporters shrug off New! 2019-09-19 12:49:35The campaign abruptly shifted focus Thursday, after photos and video emerged of Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau wearing racist makeup. But there was lit

Trudeau apologizes again, says he can't remember exact New! 2019-09-19 12:38:23In his first formal press conference since the blackface scandal erupted, Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau said today his privileged upbringing blinded h

Trudeau not acting in 'good faith' on PBO New! 2019-09-19 11:12:19Justin Trudeau's Liberals have "gamed" a process the party itself created to increase the transparency of fscal promises during elections, an econo

Scheer says he'd fast-track pipeline challenges straight to New! 2019-09-19 10:13:27A Conservative government would overcome legal objections to building new petroleum pipelines by fast-tracking any cases right to the Supreme Court, p

Why wearing blackface or brownface is considered 'reprehensible' New! 2019-09-19 08:00:00Dressing in blackface or brownface is a hurtful, racist and offensive act that mocks, dehumanizes and belittles other culture

NDP's dental plan seen as smart policy - New! 2019-09-19 04:00:26The Parliamentary Budget Officer has put a price tag on the NDP's 'denticare' promise. But the lack of fine details makes it difficult to say if th

Canada banning Christian demonstrations? How a private member's New! 2019-09-19 04:00:00A story with a headline claiming Canada was going to "Ban Christians from Demonstrating in Public," grew from an online ecosystem of spin and scare

Havana syndrome: Exposure to neurotoxin may have been New! 2019-09-19 04:00:00The mysterious ailments experienced by some 40 Canadian and U.S. diplomats and their families while stationed in Cuba may have had nothing to do with

Ex-MPs who helped Stephen Harper win a majority New! 2019-09-19 04:00:00Six former MPs in the Greater Toronto Area are aiming for a political comeback by trying to regain crucial seats for the Conservative Party. The ridin

Liberal Party confirms 3rd instance of Trudeau wearing New! 2019-09-19 04:00:00The Liberal Party has confirmed Justin Trudeau appeared in a short amateur video in blackface — a third instance of Trudeau appearing

Breitbart News

Ocasio-Cortez Claims D.C. Statehood Debate Rooted in 'History New! 2019-09-19 16:31:55Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) suggested Thursday that the ongoing debate over D.C.'s statehood is intricately rooted in the "history of slave

Rosario Dawson: ICE Raids 'Part of Larger White New! 2019-09-19 16:29:38Actress Rosario Dawson, the girlfriend of Democrat presidential hopeful Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ), claims in an op-ed that illegal immigr

Tulsi Gabbard Fundraises off Calling Trump 'Saudi Arabia's New! 2019-09-19 16:27:43Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) is raising money off a controversial remark she made earlier this week, in which she said President Donald Trump was turning

Trump Ambassador Nominee Pledges $1 Million of His New! 2019-09-19 16:26:03President Trump's nominee for United States ambassador to the Bahamas pledged to match up to $1 million in donations to assist the Bahamas' hurrican

Rob Reiner: Donald Trump 'Defecating on Our Constitution' New! 2019-09-19 16:14:33Left-wing Hollywood director Rob Reiner erupted on President Donald Trump on Thursday, once again calling for impeaching and accusing Trump of "defec

Sen. Mike Lee's Green Card Giveaway for Big New! 2019-09-19 16:08:42Senator Mike Lee's (R-UT) green card giveaway for the nation's biggest tech corporations has been at least temporarily blocked in the U.S. Senate by

National Poll: Elizabeth Warren Takes Commanding Lead over New! 2019-09-19 16:00:48Top tier candidate Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) is leading the Democrat field, according to a Civiqs/DataProgress poll taken after the third Demo

Poll: Cory Booker in Fourth Place in Home New! 2019-09-19 15:33:03A poll released Thursday from the Monmouth University Polling Institute revealed that Democrat presidential hopeful Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ)

Acting ICE Chief: Overheated Rhetoric Results in Attacks New! 2019-09-19 15:32:50During an interview with ABC News released on Thursday, Acting ICE Director Matthew Albence stated that rhetoric like saying that ICE runs concentrati

Trudeau: I Apologize My 'Layers of Privilege' Made New! 2019-09-19 15:32:19Thursday, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau apologized for wearing blackface make-up on at least three separate occasions. Trudeau said, “W

Nolte: American Heroes Troll NBC's 'Climate Confessions' Site New! 2019-09-19 15:31:44Hey, don't litter, be kind to animals, but other than that, there's nothing wrong with eating some cheeseburgers in front of your 80-inch plasma TV

Donald Trump Sues Manhattan District Attorney over Attempts New! 2019-09-19 15:29:39President Donald Trump's lawyers on Thursday filed a lawsuit against an accounting firm and Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus R. Vance Jr. over attem

Politics – Macleans.ca

A black mark on the federal election campaign 2019-09-17 14:36:08Election Image of the Day: A Liberal in New Brunswick is one of three candidates whose signs are defaced with swastikas The post A black mark on the f

338Canada: The very long odds for the PPC 2019-09-17 10:17:35Philippe J. Fournier: The debate commission ruled Bernier's party has a legitimate shot at winning more than one seat. The 338Canada model suggests n

Official debates now at Max capacity 2019-09-17 07:00:00Politics Insider for Sept. 17: Bernier invited to debates, Trudeau 'supports' the CBC and the Liberals and Conservatives fight over who's got more

The case for (some) Max Bernier in the 2019-09-16 21:28:43Stephen Maher: By meeting the organizer's threshold, the PPC leader earned his ticket—but it shouldn't extend to equal air time on our TVs as

It says here that Andrew Scheer should try 2019-09-16 18:32:24Election Image of the Day: A comically contrived photo-op reflects the state of the campaign: reduced to scripted platitudes about the middle class Th

Let’s retire the ‘abortion debate’ in Election 43 2019-09-16 17:57:42Anne Kingston: Focus on a mythical debate has a serious consequence: it ignores the larger sweep of social conservative policies promoted by anti-abor

Are Canadians being left behind or benefiting from 2019-09-16 15:19:49For this election, it’s both. There is evidence that people's partisan identification changes the way they see changing economic conditions. Th

Is that a Conservative campaigner calling, or a 2019-09-16 13:54:16Stephen Maher: The party is using pre-recorded voice actors and a controversial technology that the Liberals abandoned at the last moment The post Is

Who lost the last election again? 2019-09-16 11:46:40As the 2019 campaign gets rolling, consider what made the 2015 election so unusual—results that were more than acceptable for all three major pa

Trudeau: No questions please, I’m campaigning 2019-09-16 07:00:45Politics Insider for Sept. 16: Foreign policy messes, apologizing Tories and Scheer's tax cut pledges cost big The post Trudeau: No questions please,

This week’s 338Canada projection: A look at where 2019-09-15 19:06:20Philippe J. Fournier: The poll average shows an incredibly close race at the top, but no consensus on where NDP support stands The post This week&rsqu

Maclean’s-Citytv National Leaders Debate 2019: Full transcript 2019-09-13 15:50:42Here's everything Elizabeth May, Jagmeet Singh and Andrew Scheer said during the Maclean's-Citytv #firstdebate The post Maclean’s-Citytv Natio

CTVNews.ca - Politics -

Scheer pressed on abortion debate on campaign trail 2019-09-12 11:54:00Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer’s first stop on the second day of the federal election campaign was preoccupied by the ongoing abortion debate

Two NDP candidates resign at start of federal 2019-09-12 11:31:00Two NDP candidates have resigned at the start of the federal election campaign, one because of domestic abuse allegations he denies and the other over

Liberals get new campaign plane after collision with 2019-09-12 01:33:00An unwrapped Air Transat plane will temporarily replace Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau’s election-branded aircraft, after a media bus hit and dam

338 ridings, 40 days, 1 vote: Election campaign 2019-09-11 08:24:00Justin Trudeau has set in motion the 2019 federal election campaign, setting up his re-election bid as a choice for forward progress, while his oppone

Greens clarify abortion stance after May says she 2019-09-09 20:50:00The Green Party says there is 'zero chance' that any of its members would attempt to reopen the abortion debate in the House of Commons, issuing the

'Friends of Science' thanks Elections Canada for warning 2019-09-09 17:52:00A Calgary organization that argues climate change is nothing close to a global emergency says Elections Canada is right to keep a close eye on campaig

Waiting for the election to be called: Pre-campaign 2019-09-09 17:32:00While it may seem that the election campaign has begun, with parties exchanging partisan attacks and unveiling their ads, slogans, and in some cases c

Quebec, Ontario first targets in launch of Conservative 2019-09-09 15:23:00The federal Conservatives will formally launch their federal election campaign Wednesday with two events in places where they aim to increase their su

Everything you need to know about the 2019 2019-09-09 12:00:00Here's how you can watch, listen, and engage with the two official leaders' debates in the 2019 election campaign.

AFN outlines 2019 federal election priorities 2019-09-09 10:35:00The Assembly of First Nations has outlined what it views as the key election 2019 priorities for federal parties and candidates. Among the top commitm

Trudeau and Vancouver's mayor talk housing, transit and 2019-08-30 14:17:18Prime Minister Justin Trudeau touted his government's record on some of the most sensitive issues facing Vancouver as he met with Mayor Kennedy Stewa

Lawyer for suspended public servant requests delay in 2019-08-30 11:42:08A lawyer for a federal public servant accused of leaking cabinet secrets about a $700-million shipbuilding project is asking for a delay in the case u


Disclaimer and Notice:WorldProNews.com is not responsible of these news or any information published on this website.